Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The deciding value is the US regular gasoline retail price, in US dollars per gallon, shown in the first row of the US Regular Gasoline Prices table in the weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending November 16, 2026. The outcome is Yes if the price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes the update at 9:00 AM CT, normally on Tuesday, or on Wednesday when Tuesday is a US government holiday. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
About
Retail gasoline prices are the prices drivers pay per gallon at gas stations. The measure is the national average retail price of regular-grade gasoline in the US for the week ending November 16, 2026, in US dollars per gallon.
Questions and Answers
What does the “US Gas Prices for the Week Ending November 16, 2026” market ask?
US Gas Prices for the Week Ending November 16, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 4.05” pays $1 if the result is above 4.05, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 4.05” to “Above 4.45”.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “US Gas Prices for the Week Ending November 16, 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Nov 17, 2026, 10:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 17, 2026, 12:00 pm ET.
How does “US Gas Prices for the Week Ending November 16, 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The deciding value is the US regular gasoline retail price, in US dollars per gallon, shown in the first row of the US Regular Gasoline Prices table in the weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending November 16, 2026. The outcome is Yes if the price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes the update at 9:00 AM CT, normally on Tuesday, or on Wednesday when Tuesday is a US government holiday. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published. The resolution source is Energy Information Agency.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “US Gas Prices for the Week Ending November 16, 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
