US Payroll Employment Change in January 2027?
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes the deciding data in The Employment Situation report, and the deciding value is the monthly change in US nonfarm payroll employment for January 2027. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts, and later revisions do not change the outcome; the value becomes final when BLS publishes it at 7:30 AM CT, typically on the third Friday after the reference week that includes the 12th of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
About
Nonfarm payroll employment is the number of workers in the US excluding farm workers and a handful of other job classifications. The measure is the monthly change in that count for January 2027, which can be an increase or a decrease.
