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Layoffs in the US in December 2027?

Chart

Above 1,300—
Above 1,400—
Above 1,500—
Above 1,600—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 1,300
0%—
Above 1,400
0%—
Above 1,500
0%—
Above 1,600
0%—
Above 1,700
0%—
Above 1,800
0%—
Above 1,900
0%—

Rules

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes the deciding value in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, typically at 9:00 AM CT, in Table 5, "Layoffs and discharges levels and rates by industry and region, seasonally adjusted". The value used is the figure under Levels (in thousands) for December 2027 in the row for the US, where the total and industry rows cover the whole US and the four region rows at the bottom of the table cover those regions. The outcome is Yes if that figure is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome becomes final when BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover report covering December 2027, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Layoffs and discharges are involuntary job separations initiated by employers. The outcome is the seasonally adjusted number of layoffs and discharges in the US, in thousands, for December 2027.

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