Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is decided by the year-over-year percent change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices for January 2027, as published by Eurostat in its monthly HICP flash estimate, typically issued on the first or second working day of the following month at 11:00 AM CET (4:00 AM CT, or 5:00 AM CT when CT and CET are offset by daylight saving time); only the flash estimate is used. The outcome is Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from the value as first published in that release, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices tracks the prices consumers in the eurozone pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The measure is the year-over-year percent change in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices for January 2027, comparing that month's index level with the level for the same month one year earlier.
