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Eurozone Real GDP Growth in Q3 2027?

Chart

Above -1.25%—
Above -1.0%—
Above -0.75%—
Above -0.5%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above -1.25%
0%—
Above -1.0%
0%—
Above -0.75%
0%—
Above -0.5%
0%—
Above -0.25%
0%—
Above 0.0%
0%—
Above 0.25%
0%—
Above 0.5%
0%—
Above 0.75%
0%—
Above 1.0%
0%—
Above 1.25%
0%—

Rules

Eurostat publishes the deciding data in its preliminary flash estimate of GDP for the euro area, the countries that use the euro, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for Q3 2027, measured as the quarter-over-quarter percentage change. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Eurostat publishes the flash estimate about 30 days after the end of each quarter at 11:00 AM Central European Time, which is 4:00 AM CT (5:00 AM CT when CT and CET are offset by daylight saving time). The value becomes final when it is published, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Real GDP is the inflation-adjusted value of the final goods and services an economy produces. The event is the real GDP growth of the eurozone for Q3 2027, measured as the quarter-over-quarter percentage change.

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