The outcome is decided by the monthly unemployment rate for the eurozone for October 2026, as published by Eurostat, using the euro area rate stated in the title of its monthly unemployment press release ("Euro Area unemployment at" a given percentage), published about 31 days after the reference month at 11:00 AM CET (4:00 AM CT, though this can shift when daylight saving changes do not line up). The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from that first release when it is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the monthly unemployment rate for the eurozone for October 2026, as published by Eurostat, using the euro area rate stated in the title of its monthly unemployment press release ("Euro Area unemployment at" a given percentage), published about 31 days after the reference month at 11:00 AM CET (4:00 AM CT, though this can shift when daylight saving changes do not line up). The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from that first release when it is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.