Germany's official national statistics agency publishes the deciding data in its official quarterly GDP release, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for Q4 2026, measured as the quarter-over-quarter change. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial figure from the flash, preliminary or first release counts, later revisions do not affect the outcome, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

Germany's official national statistics agency publishes the deciding data in its official quarterly GDP release, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for Q4 2026, measured as the quarter-over-quarter change. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial figure from the flash, preliminary or first release counts, later revisions do not affect the outcome, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.