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Yes65%
No35%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
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© 2026 Lumina Markets

Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

2028 US Presidential Party?
2028 US Presidential Party?
2028 US Presidential Party?

2028 US Presidential Party?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Democrat51%
Republican44%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Democrat
0%51%
Republican
0%44%

Rules

The United States Congress provides the deciding record, which is the certification of the winner of the US Presidential Election at the January 6 joint session of Congress following the election specified in the market question, published in the Congressional Record the following business day. The outcome is Yes if the certified winner belongs to the party named in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome can be decided early, before certification, if the Associated Press, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal have each called the race for the same candidate and no recount, legal challenge or other official proceeding that could affect the result is pending or announced; otherwise it stays open until those conditions are met or until certification, and resolution is scheduled for 9:00 AM CT on January 7, when the Congressional Record is published. If the Congressional Record is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The US President is the head of the executive branch of the federal government and is chosen in a national election. A candidate wins the presidency by receiving a majority of Electoral College votes, at least 270 of 538. The event is the political party of the candidate who wins the US Presidential Election.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

2028 US Presidential Party?
2028 US Presidential Party?
2028 US Presidential Party?

2028 US Presidential Party?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Democrat51%
Republican44%
Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22Sep 29
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Democrat
0%51%
Republican
0%44%

Rules

The United States Congress provides the deciding record, which is the certification of the winner of the US Presidential Election at the January 6 joint session of Congress following the election specified in the market question, published in the Congressional Record the following business day. The outcome is Yes if the certified winner belongs to the party named in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome can be decided early, before certification, if the Associated Press, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal have each called the race for the same candidate and no recount, legal challenge or other official proceeding that could affect the result is pending or announced; otherwise it stays open until those conditions are met or until certification, and resolution is scheduled for 9:00 AM CT on January 7, when the Congressional Record is published. If the Congressional Record is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The US President is the head of the executive branch of the federal government and is chosen in a national election. A candidate wins the presidency by receiving a majority of Electoral College votes, at least 270 of 538. The event is the political party of the candidate who wins the US Presidential Election.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related