Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 3.0%0%
Above 3.2%0%
Above 3.4%0%
Above 3.6%0%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 3.0%
0%0%
Above 3.2%
0%0%
Above 3.4%
0%0%
Above 3.6%
0%0%
Above 3.8%
0%0%
Above 4.0%
0%0%
Above 4.2%
0%0%
Above 4.4%
0%0%
Above 4.6%
0%0%
Above 4.8%
0%0%
Rules
This market resolves using the U-3 unemployment rate from the BLS's monthly Employment Situation report, released at 7:30 AM CT. If the BLS delays the report, resolution is delayed until it is published.
About
The unemployment rate measures the share of the labor force that is without a job and actively looking for one. This market asks whether that rate will exceed a set level for November 2026.